Round 7 · simulation 1 · cmaes-c1.c1-kor-cmaes-domain

Round 2033

Round 7 of 20 in simulation 1 of South Korea, evolution strategy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.074 to 16.55.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2033 (the end of 2032) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.55 (−0.074)
In: 16.63
Rank by index
3
In: 3
Domains at Tier 1
6
In: 6
Credits carried
1,135
In: 977
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.1316.00−0.1202 → 3
Strategic Infrastructure16.4616.27−0.1871 → 2
National Security14.6614.33−0.3293
Human Capital17.4117.52+0.1051
Information & Influence17.1316.77−0.3521
Governance & Integrity16.3216.29−0.0252 → 1
Financial Strength17.1817.31+0.1331
Production & Innovation16.8416.86+0.0151
Trade & Investment17.5317.63+0.0961

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2033: the credits, the evolution strategy (cma-es) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,078, plus 977 carried in. Maintenance 760. Spent 160 on actions (build 64, buy 32, partner 64). 1,135 carried over.

  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption32 credits for 1.29 levelscmaes
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence32 credits for 1.91 levelscmaes
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade32 credits for 1.83 levelscmaes
  • PartnerMonetary & Currency Capability32 credits for 1.14 levelscmaes
  • BuyRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls32 credits for 0.80 levelscmaes
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −13.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 2 to 3; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 2 to 1.

The groups that moved most in 2033, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & Services Trade+0.76+0.920.00−0.160.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.72+0.840.00−0.120.00
Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls+0.66+0.800.00−0.140.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.60+0.760.00−0.160.00
Monetary & Currency Capability+0.57+0.570.000.00+0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.560.000.00−0.560.00