Round 4 · simulation 2 · cmaes-dev.dev-est-greedy

Round 2030

Round 4 of 4 in simulation 2 of Estonia, greedy, 4 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.065 to 11.45.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.45 (+0.066)
In: 11.38
Rank by index
34
In: 34
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
246
In: 183
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.247.74+0.5096 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.4610.46−0.0095
National Security7.417.42+0.0046
Human Capital14.2814.28−0.0033
Information & Influence10.4910.49−0.0026
Governance & Integrity15.2515.24−0.0024
Financial Strength12.6212.61−0.0079
Production & Innovation12.5912.68+0.0935
Trade & Investment12.1312.14+0.0058

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 386, plus 183 carried in. Maintenance 264. Spent 58 on actions (buy 58). 246 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing12 credits for 0.99 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 18 per cent
  • BuySpace Technologies12 credits for 0.81 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Energy Technologies by 1 per cent
  • BuyEnergy Technologies12 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 1 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity12 credits for 0.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Materials & Manufacturing by 2 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing12 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Space Technologies+1.29+1.290.000.000.00
Energy Technologies+1.15+1.150.000.000.00
Advanced Materials & Manufacturing+1.12+1.120.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.99+0.990.000.000.00
Economic Output & Productivity+0.71+0.730.000.00−0.02
Artificial Intelligence+0.340.000.000.00+0.34