Round 2040
Round 14 of 20 in simulation 89 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.161 to 12.87.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2040 (the end of 2039) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.87 (−0.161)
- In: 13.03
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 162
- In: 154
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.90 | 10.73 | −0.172 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 13.68 | 13.38 | −0.291 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.01 | 8.58 | −0.433 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.92 | 16.10 | +0.179 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.71 | 13.36 | −0.346 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.01 | 11.79 | −0.221 | 9 → 10 |
| Financial Strength | 13.81 | 13.82 | +0.010 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.11 | 13.13 | +0.013 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 15.12 | 14.93 | −0.187 | 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2040: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 461, plus 154 carried in. Maintenance 339. Spent 114 on actions (build 46, buy 68). 162 carried over.
- BuildFoundational Education23 credits for 1.13 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 1 per cent
- BuyResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation23 credits for 0.97 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuyEconomic Output & Productivity23 credits for 1.07 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Communications & Digital Infrastructure by 1 per cent
- BuyCommunications & Digital Infrastructure23 credits for 1.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls by 0 per cent
- BuildRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls23 credits for 1.16 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 0 per cent
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −18.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Talent & Knowledge Creation | +1.02 | +0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +0.93 | +1.07 | 0.00 | −0.19 | +0.04 |
| Maritime Power | −0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.74 | 0.00 |
| Intelligence & Assessment | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.75 | +0.03 |
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.73 | +0.01 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.78 | +0.09 |