Round 2038
Round 12 of 20 in simulation 99 of Brazil, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.071 to 12.98.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 12.98 (−0.071)
- In: 13.06
- Rank by index
- 22
- In: 22
- Domains at Tier 1
- 1
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 69
- In: 67
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 10.47 | 10.81 | +0.335 | 5 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 14.15 | 13.85 | −0.300 | 3 |
| National Security | 9.53 | 9.16 | −0.366 | 5 |
| Human Capital | 15.98 | 16.08 | +0.097 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 13.53 | 13.15 | −0.383 | 3 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 12.34 | 12.13 | −0.209 | 9 |
| Financial Strength | 13.71 | 13.73 | +0.015 | 8 |
| Production & Innovation | 13.29 | 13.18 | −0.114 | 3 |
| Trade & Investment | 14.50 | 14.78 | +0.283 | 2 → 3 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2038: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 453, plus 67 carried in. Maintenance 341. Spent 111 on actions (build 22, buy 67, partner 22). 69 carried over.
- PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication22 credits for 1.57 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 0 per cent
- BuildFoundational Education22 credits for 1.12 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing22 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Sensing, Timing & Navigation by 1 per cent
- BuySensing, Timing & Navigation22 credits for 1.74 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 0 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies22 credits for 1.66 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −15.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 4; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sensing, Timing & Navigation | +1.59 | +1.74 | 0.00 | −0.16 | +0.01 |
| Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies | +1.32 | +1.66 | 0.00 | −0.35 | +0.01 |
| Semiconductors & Advanced Computing | +1.29 | +1.48 | 0.00 | −0.19 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +0.68 | +0.82 | 0.00 | −0.18 | +0.04 |
| Alliances & Security Cooperation | −0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.63 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.63 | 0.00 |