Round 6 · simulation 39 · cycle-001.e3-bra-random

Round 2032

Round 6 of 20 in simulation 39 of Brazil, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.101 to 11.74.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2032 (the end of 2031) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.74 (−0.102)
In: 11.84
Rank by index
30
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
349
In: 275
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology9.038.94−0.0856
Strategic Infrastructure13.9713.85−0.1193
National Security9.459.27−0.1785
Human Capital12.0112.03+0.0226
Information & Influence12.0211.95−0.0725
Governance & Integrity12.1712.08−0.0879
Financial Strength13.3413.21−0.1347
Production & Innovation11.9611.85−0.1106 → 8
Trade & Investment12.6112.46−0.1506 → 7

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2032: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 394, plus 275 carried in. Maintenance 281. Spent 39 on actions (build 8, buy 12, partner 20). 349 carried over.

  • BuyCyber & Electromagnetic Operations4 credits for 0.28 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuyDigital & Services Trade8 credits for 0.41 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing4 credits for 0.13 levelsrandom_draw
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.21 levelsrandom_draw
  • PartnerResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation20 credits for 1.08 levelsrandom_draw
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −10.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 8; Trade & Investment Tier 6 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2032, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.360.000.00−0.37+0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.360.000.00−0.360.00
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.340.000.00−0.340.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.320.000.00−0.320.00
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation+0.31+0.360.00−0.050.00
Maritime Power−0.310.000.00−0.310.00