Round 15 · simulation 28 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 28 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.083 to 13.18.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
13.18 (−0.083)
In: 13.26
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
230
In: 227
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology11.1211.25+0.1295 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure11.5911.46−0.1304
National Security7.937.85−0.0726
Human Capital16.5016.41−0.0911
Information & Influence13.7113.49−0.2153
Governance & Integrity15.6615.59−0.0723
Financial Strength13.7713.55−0.2148
Production & Innovation14.1614.18+0.0143 → 2
Trade & Investment14.9014.80−0.0983 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 444, plus 227 carried in. Maintenance 330. Spent 111 on actions (buy 66, partner 44). 230 carried over.

  • BuySpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure22 credits for 1.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 1 per cent
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection22 credits for 1.46 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies22 credits for 1.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
  • BuyEconomic Output & Productivity22 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence22 credits for 1.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Air Power by 1 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −13.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 4; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.46+1.480.00−0.08+0.06
Economic Output & Productivity+0.81+0.980.00−0.19+0.02
Investment Attraction & Projection+0.52+0.730.00−0.210.00
Space Technologies+0.49+0.560.00−0.09+0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.430.000.00−0.43+0.01
Space, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure+0.41+0.590.00−0.20+0.02