Round 9 · simulation 59 · cycle-001.e3-est-greedy-marginal

Round 2035

Round 9 of 20 in simulation 59 of Estonia, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.137 to 11.70.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2035 (the end of 2034) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.70 (+0.137)
In: 11.56
Rank by index
30
In: 32
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
261
In: 213
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology8.118.69+0.5796 → 5
Strategic Infrastructure10.2910.31+0.0175
National Security6.486.49+0.0166
Human Capital15.5015.50+0.0021
Information & Influence11.6611.79+0.1256
Governance & Integrity14.9314.95+0.0225
Financial Strength12.0512.11+0.05410
Production & Innovation12.7512.79+0.0375
Trade & Investment12.2912.67+0.3837

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2035: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 384, plus 213 carried in. Maintenance 242. Spent 94 on actions (buy 56, partner 37). 261 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation19 credits for 1.79 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access19 credits for 1.71 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 2 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication19 credits for 1.53 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Biotechnology & Health Technologies by 0 per cent
  • BuyBiotechnology & Health Technologies19 credits for 1.73 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 0 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence19 credits for 1.61 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Facilitation & Logistics by 0 per cent

Earlier events still landing: +1.5 points this round.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2035, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Artificial Intelligence+1.96+1.610.00+0.02+0.33
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+1.90+1.790.00+0.02+0.08
Biotechnology & Health Technologies+1.75+1.730.00+0.020.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+1.53+1.520.00+0.02−0.01
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.91+0.860.00+0.02+0.03
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+0.67+0.650.00+0.01+0.01