Round 15 · simulation 28 · cycle-001.e3-est-mirror-peer

Round 2041

Round 15 of 20 in simulation 28 of Estonia, mirror a peer, 20 years: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.055 to 12.90.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2041 (the end of 2040) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.90 (−0.055)
In: 12.95
Rank by index
22
In: 22
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
286
In: 260
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.917.92+0.0106
Strategic Infrastructure12.0211.88−0.1364
National Security7.567.47−0.0916
Human Capital15.5615.53−0.0273
Information & Influence13.7513.62−0.1231
Governance & Integrity15.6315.58−0.0513
Financial Strength14.5714.35−0.2166 → 7
Production & Innovation14.4114.56+0.1443
Trade & Investment15.1715.17−0.0064 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2041: the credits, the mirror a peer (irl) method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 428, plus 260 carried in. Maintenance 296. Spent 106 on actions (build 42, buy 42, partner 21). 286 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education21 credits for 1.14 levelsgoal_gapahead of Global Value Chain Position by 32 per cent
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position21 credits for 1.28 levelsgoal_gapahead of Justice System & Fundamental Rights by 6 per cent
  • BuildJustice System & Fundamental Rights21 credits for 0.85 levelsgoal_gapahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 9 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion21 credits for 1.59 levelsgoal_gapahead of Advanced Manufacturing by 7 per cent
  • BuyAdvanced Manufacturing21 credits for 0.92 levelsgoal_gapahead of Regulatory Governance & Strategic Controls by 18 per cent
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −13.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 6 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2041, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+1.49+1.590.00−0.12+0.02
Quantum Technologies+0.65+0.700.00−0.07+0.03
Global Value Chain Position+0.50+0.640.00−0.20+0.05
Digital & Services Trade+0.46+0.650.00−0.190.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.380.000.00−0.42+0.04
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.380.000.00−0.39+0.01