Round 12 · simulation 9 · cycle-001.e3-gbr-hold

Round 2038

Round 12 of 20 in simulation 9 of United Kingdom, hold, 20 years: 0 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.462 to 15.32.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2038 (the end of 2037) and as it left it.

Capability index
15.32 (−0.462)
In: 15.79
Rank by index
8
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2,909
In: 2,592
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology15.5415.27−0.2703 → 4
Strategic Infrastructure15.6215.01−0.6112
National Security16.2815.62−0.6622 → 3
Human Capital15.6815.52−0.1632
Information & Influence16.4716.21−0.2622
Governance & Integrity15.9715.65−0.3144 → 5
Financial Strength16.1315.53−0.6094
Production & Innovation14.9314.43−0.5013
Trade & Investment15.4414.67−0.7683 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2038: the credits, the hold method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 871, plus 2,592 carried in. Maintenance 554. Nothing spent on actions. 2,909 carried over.

  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −32.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 3 to 4; National Security Tier 2 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 3 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2038, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.210.000.00−1.17−0.04
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.150.000.00−1.15−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.080.000.00−0.97−0.11
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.050.000.00−1.04−0.01
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.000.000.00−1.00−0.01
Maritime Power−1.000.000.00−1.000.00