Round 1 · simulation 73 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2027

Round 1 of 10 in simulation 73 of Kenya, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.048 to 7.22.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2027 (the end of 2026) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.22 (+0.048)
In: 7.18
Rank by index
78
In: 79
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
2
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.903.10+0.20412 → 10
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.600.0009
Human Capital7.687.70+0.01912
Information & Influence8.218.36+0.1519
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.577.62+0.05314
Trade & Investment8.308.300.00012

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2027: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143. Maintenance 110. Spent 32 on actions (build 7, buy 24). 2 carried over.

  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 1.06 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technical & Vocational Skills by 1 per cent
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 6 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence7 credits for 0.98 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.91 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 1 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.37 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2027, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.06+1.060.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.98+0.980.000.000.00
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.91+0.910.000.000.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.37+0.370.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.18+0.180.000.000.00