Round 4 · simulation 73 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2030

Round 4 of 10 in simulation 73 of Kenya, greedy, 10 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.050 to 7.36.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.36 (+0.049)
In: 7.31
Rank by index
76
In: 77
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.553.64+0.09510 → 9
Strategic Infrastructure7.887.880.0007
National Security4.604.61+0.0069
Human Capital7.797.87+0.08112
Information & Influence8.478.65+0.1828 → 7
Governance & Integrity8.898.890.00014
Financial Strength8.578.570.00017
Production & Innovation7.757.76+0.00514
Trade & Investment8.308.38+0.07812

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2030: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 143, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 114. Spent 30 on actions (build 9, buy 14, partner 7). 0 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills7 credits for 0.83 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 2 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 2 per cent
  • BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.87 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 1 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling1 credits for 0.18 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 10 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7.

The groups that moved most in 2030, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Development Cooperation & Global Assistance+0.87+0.870.000.000.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.75+0.750.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.47+0.470.000.000.00
Alliances & Security Cooperation+0.20+0.200.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.190.000.000.00+0.19