Round 5 · simulation 80 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal-10y

Round 2031

Round 5 of 10 in simulation 80 of Kenya, greedy, 10 years: 4 actions, and the index +0.045 to 7.08.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.08 (+0.046)
In: 7.04
Rank by index
80
In: 80
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.623.72+0.0999
Strategic Infrastructure7.387.380.0008
National Security4.414.42+0.0079
Human Capital7.597.67+0.08112
Information & Influence8.468.46+0.0029
Governance & Integrity8.648.64−0.00215
Financial Strength8.048.03−0.01720
Production & Innovation7.337.38+0.04915
Trade & Investment7.868.05+0.19013 → 12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 133. Maintenance 108. Spent 24 on actions (buy 10, partner 14). 1 carried over.

  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.72 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.94 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Export Capability & Sophistication by 1 per cent
  • PartnerExport Capability & Sophistication7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
  • BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.35 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent

Tiers. Trade & Investment Tier 13 to 12.

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.93+0.940.000.00−0.01
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.72+0.720.000.000.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+0.69+0.690.000.000.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.42+0.430.000.00−0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.35+0.350.000.000.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.210.000.000.00+0.21