Round 2034
Round 8 of 20 in simulation 61 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.387 to 6.82.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.82 (−0.387)
- In: 7.20
- Rank by index
- 84
- In: 79
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 1
- In: 2
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 3.05 | 2.90 | −0.144 | 10 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.73 | 7.13 | −0.601 | 8 |
| National Security | 4.47 | 3.82 | −0.652 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 8.50 | 8.38 | −0.119 | 10 |
| Information & Influence | 8.52 | 8.48 | −0.038 | 8 → 7 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.72 | 8.40 | −0.325 | 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.22 | 7.64 | −0.579 | 18 → 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.50 | 7.07 | −0.431 | 14 → 15 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.11 | 7.52 | −0.592 | 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2034: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 138, plus 2 carried in. Maintenance 109. Spent 30 on actions (buy 24, partner 7). 1 carried over.
- BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies by 3 per cent
- BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies7 credits for 0.88 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 0 per cent
- PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.89 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 0 per cent
- BuyDevelopment Cooperation & Global Assistance7 credits for 0.80 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Technology Adoption & Diffusion by 0 per cent
- BuyTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.33 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Investment Attraction & Projection by 0 per cent
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −33.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 8 to 7; Financial Strength Tier 18 to 20; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 15.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.16 | −0.01 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.12 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.12 | −0.01 |
| Maritime Power | −1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.10 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.06 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.00 | 0.00 |