Round 16 · simulation 68 · cycle-001.e3-ken-greedy-marginal

Round 2042

Round 16 of 20 in simulation 68 of Kenya, greedy, 20 years: 4 actions, Clean power threshold, and the index +0.063 to 7.73.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2042 (the end of 2041) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.73 (+0.064)
In: 7.67
Rank by index
71
In: 72
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
1
In: 1
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.795.09+0.2947
Strategic Infrastructure7.937.97+0.0447
National Security4.414.42+0.0129
Human Capital8.768.78+0.0188
Information & Influence9.059.07+0.0207
Governance & Integrity8.958.98+0.03814 → 13
Financial Strength8.388.42+0.03618
Production & Innovation7.837.88+0.04712
Trade & Investment8.938.99+0.06211

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2042: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 149, plus 1 carried in. Maintenance 124. Spent 25 on actions (buy 18, partner 7). 1 carried over.

  • BuySensing, Timing & Navigation7 credits for 0.85 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Space Technologies by 0 per cent
  • PartnerSpace Technologies7 credits for 0.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Semiconductors & Advanced Computing by 0 per cent
  • BuySemiconductors & Advanced Computing7 credits for 0.65 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Artificial Intelligence by 1 per cent
  • BuyArtificial Intelligence3 credits for 0.32 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 0 per cent
  • Upside event: Clean power threshold S15. +9.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 13.

The groups that moved most in 2042, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Sensing, Timing & Navigation+0.90+0.850.00+0.03+0.02
Space Technologies+0.69+0.660.00+0.030.00
Semiconductors & Advanced Computing+0.68+0.650.00+0.030.00
Artificial Intelligence+0.45+0.320.00+0.03+0.09
Trade Policy & Market Access+0.21+0.170.00+0.03+0.01
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.080.000.00+0.06+0.02