Round 2030
Round 4 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.695 to 6.52.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2030 (the end of 2029) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 6.52 (−0.695)
- In: 7.21
- Rank by index
- 90
- In: 79
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 55
- In: 51
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.91 | 2.45 | −0.457 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.91 | 6.99 | −0.924 | 7 → 8 |
| National Security | 4.62 | 3.62 | −1.000 | 9 → 10 |
| Human Capital | 7.69 | 7.43 | −0.251 | 12 → 13 |
| Information & Influence | 8.28 | 7.89 | −0.388 | 9 |
| Governance & Integrity | 8.91 | 8.40 | −0.508 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 8.60 | 7.72 | −0.873 | 17 → 20 |
| Production & Innovation | 7.62 | 6.92 | −0.694 | 14 → 16 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.42 | 7.26 | −1.163 | 12 → 13 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2030: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 145, plus 51 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 30 on actions (partner 30). 55 carried over.
- PartnerCyber & Electromagnetic Operations7 credits for 0.57 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerSovereign Capital & External Financial Power7 credits for 0.58 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure7 credits for 0.44 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerEconomic Output & Productivity7 credits for 0.49 levelsrandom_draw
- PartnerBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship1 credits for 0.09 levelsrandom_draw
- Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −53.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 7 to 8; National Security Tier 9 to 10; Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 20; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 12 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | −1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.84 | +0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.79 | 0.00 |
| Strategic Strike & Missile Defence | −1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.78 | 0.00 |
| Maritime Power | −1.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.75 | 0.00 |
| Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment | −1.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.68 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.58 | +0.02 |