Round 8 · simulation 32 · cycle-001.e3-ken-random

Round 2034

Round 8 of 20 in simulation 32 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index 0.000 to 6.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2034 (the end of 2033) and as it left it.

Capability index: 6.54 (0.000); In: 6.54
Rank by index: 90; In: 90
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 118; In: 98

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	2.47	2.50	+0.023	12
Strategic Infrastructure	6.98	6.96	−0.023	8
National Security	3.63	3.61	−0.014	9 → 10
Human Capital	7.51	7.53	+0.015	12
Information & Influence	7.98	7.98	−0.002	9
Governance & Integrity	8.42	8.42	−0.007	15
Financial Strength	7.74	7.73	−0.004	18
Production & Innovation	6.93	6.94	+0.008	16
Trade & Investment	7.16	7.16	+0.004	13

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2034: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 129, plus 98 carried in. Maintenance 94. Spent 16 on actions (build 10, buy 3, partner 3). 118 carried over.

BuildEconomic Output & Productivity6 credits for 0.38 levelsrandom_draw
BuyGlobal Value Chain Position3 credits for 0.17 levelsrandom_draw
BuildEnergy Infrastructure1 credits for 0.06 levelsrandom_draw
BuildMaritime Power3 credits for 0.12 levelsrandom_draw
PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation3 credits for 0.15 levelsrandom_draw

Tiers. National Security Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2034, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested	Graph
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling	+0.17	+0.17	0.00
Global Value Chain Position	+0.16	+0.17	−0.01
Energy Infrastructure	+0.11	+0.15	−0.04
Economic Output & Productivity	+0.11	+0.13	−0.01
Artificial Intelligence	+0.10	+0.12	−0.02
Social Infrastructure	−0.08	0.00	−0.08