Round 5 · simulation 89 · cycle-001.e3-ken-random

Round 2031

Round 5 of 20 in simulation 89 of Kenya, random, 20 years: 5 actions, and the index +0.018 to 7.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.

Capability index: 7.24 (+0.018); In: 7.23
Rank by index: 78; In: 78
Domains at Tier 1: 0; In: 0
Credits carried: 75; In: 64

Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
Domain	In	Out	Change	Tier
Critical Technology	2.98	2.98	0.000	10
Strategic Infrastructure	7.93	7.95	+0.014	7
National Security	4.61	4.62	+0.002	9
Human Capital	7.77	7.79	+0.016	12
Information & Influence	8.22	8.25	+0.025	8
Governance & Integrity	8.90	8.91	+0.014	14
Financial Strength	8.59	8.60	+0.008	17
Production & Innovation	7.64	7.66	+0.013	14
Trade & Investment	8.37	8.45	+0.074	12

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2031: the credits, the random method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 144, plus 64 carried in. Maintenance 111. Spent 22 on actions (build 12, buy 7, partner 3). 75 carried over.

PartnerDiaspora & Global Communities3 credits for 0.16 levelsrandom_draw
BuyGlobal Value Chain Position7 credits for 0.46 levelsrandom_draw
BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption7 credits for 0.42 levelsrandom_draw
BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion3 credits for 0.21 levelsrandom_draw
BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics1 credits for 0.10 levelsrandom_draw

The groups that moved most in 2031, and what moved them
Moved most	Change	Invested
Global Value Chain Position	+0.46	+0.46
Diaspora & Global Communities	+0.10	+0.10
Communications & Digital Infrastructure	+0.09	+0.09
Public Integrity & Anti-Corruption	+0.08	+0.08
Research Talent & Knowledge Creation	+0.07	+0.07
Technology Adoption & Diffusion	+0.07	+0.07