Round 2 · simulation 18 · cycle-001.e3-kor-greedy-marginal

Round 2028

Round 2 of 20 in simulation 18 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Middle East settlement, and the index +0.137 to 16.19.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2028 (the end of 2027) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.19 (+0.137)
In: 16.05
Rank by index
6
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 2
Credits carried
166
In: 82
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.09+0.0062
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.40+0.0832 → 1
National Security14.4114.48+0.0703
Human Capital16.9517.48+0.5251
Information & Influence15.4915.86+0.3683 → 2
Governance & Integrity15.8415.93+0.0884 → 3
Financial Strength16.0716.11+0.0325
Production & Innovation16.6316.66+0.0321
Trade & Investment16.6816.71+0.0322

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2028: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 888, plus 82 carried in. Maintenance 582. Spent 222 on actions (build 178, partner 44). 166 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills44 credits for 3.45 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Lifelong Learning & Reskilling by 15 per cent
  • BuildLifelong Learning & Reskilling44 credits for 3.11 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & AI Competence by 10 per cent
  • BuildDigital & AI Competence44 credits for 2.23 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Alliances & Security Cooperation by 7 per cent
  • PartnerAlliances & Security Cooperation44 credits for 3.40 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Advanced Education by 1 per cent
  • BuildAdvanced Education44 credits for 1.69 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 2 per cent
  • Upside event: Middle East settlement S14. +11.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Information & Influence Tier 3 to 2; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2028, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.82+1.700.00+0.130.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.47+1.440.00+0.030.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.35+1.320.00+0.030.00
Digital & AI Competence+1.00+0.970.00+0.030.00
Advanced Education+0.74+0.710.00+0.030.00
Energy Infrastructure+0.130.000.00+0.130.00