Round 3 · simulation 51 · cycle-001.e3-kor-greedy-marginal

Round 2029

Round 3 of 20 in simulation 51 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, Great-power détente, and the index +0.247 to 16.39.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2029 (the end of 2028) and as it left it.

Capability index
16.39 (+0.246)
In: 16.14
Rank by index
4
In: 6
Domains at Tier 1
4
In: 2
Credits carried
236
In: 158
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology16.0816.21+0.1242
Strategic Infrastructure16.3216.34+0.0232 → 1
National Security14.4114.52+0.1133
Human Capital17.4518.03+0.5841
Information & Influence15.7816.42+0.6402 → 1
Governance & Integrity15.8415.90+0.0644 → 3
Financial Strength16.0716.24+0.1655 → 4
Production & Innovation16.6316.74+0.1131
Trade & Investment16.6817.07+0.3962

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2029: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 888, plus 158 carried in. Maintenance 589. Spent 222 on actions (build 89, partner 133). 236 carried over.

  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills44 credits for 2.36 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Trade Policy & Market Access by 14 per cent
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access44 credits for 2.84 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Foundational Education by 2 per cent
  • BuildFoundational Education44 credits for 1.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance by 5 per cent
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance44 credits for 1.30 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks by 1 per cent
  • PartnerDiplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks44 credits for 2.48 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Development Cooperation & Global Assistance by 1 per cent
  • Upside event: Great-power détente S13. +19.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 1; Information & Influence Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 4 to 3; Financial Strength Tier 5 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2029, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Alliances & Security Cooperation+1.92+1.700.00+0.230.00
Technical & Vocational Skills+1.91+1.910.000.000.00
Trade Policy & Market Access+1.64+1.420.00+0.230.00
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks+1.47+1.240.00+0.230.00
Lifelong Learning & Reskilling+1.32+1.320.000.000.00
Digital & AI Competence+0.97+0.970.000.000.00