Round 2031
Round 5 of 20 in simulation 51 of South Korea, greedy, 20 years: 5 actions, AI labour shock, and the index +0.126 to 16.77.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2031 (the end of 2030) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 16.77 (+0.125)
- In: 16.65
- Rank by index
- 2
- In: 2
- Domains at Tier 1
- 6
- In: 6
- Credits carried
- 344
- In: 286
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 16.33 | 16.37 | +0.036 | 2 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 16.36 | 16.34 | −0.017 | 1 |
| National Security | 14.63 | 14.76 | +0.121 | 3 |
| Human Capital | 18.39 | 18.53 | +0.143 | 1 |
| Information & Influence | 17.24 | 17.28 | +0.040 | 1 |
| Governance & Integrity | 15.97 | 15.96 | −0.005 | 3 |
| Financial Strength | 16.51 | 16.56 | +0.053 | 1 |
| Production & Innovation | 16.94 | 17.12 | +0.174 | 1 |
| Trade & Investment | 17.44 | 18.03 | +0.589 | 1 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2031: the credits, the greedy method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 976, plus 286 carried in. Maintenance 684. Spent 234 on actions (build 93, partner 140). 344 carried over.
- PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection47 credits for 2.29 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Leverage & Dependence by 2 per cent
- PartnerEconomic Leverage & Dependence47 credits for 2.75 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Economic Output & Productivity by 0 per cent
- BuildEconomic Output & Productivity47 credits for 1.55 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Research Talent & Knowledge Creation by 2 per cent
- BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation47 credits for 1.15 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Digital & Services Trade by 4 per cent
- PartnerDigital & Services Trade47 credits for 2.44 levelshighest_marginal_returnahead of Early Childhood Development by 2 per cent
- Shock: AI labour shock S08. −18.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economic Leverage & Dependence | +1.38 | +1.37 | 0.00 | −0.01 | +0.02 |
| Investment Attraction & Projection | +1.26 | +1.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.01 |
| Economic Output & Productivity | +1.13 | +1.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 |
| Digital & Services Trade | +1.09 | +1.22 | 0.00 | −0.14 | 0.00 |
| Foundational Education | +0.60 | +0.66 | 0.00 | −0.07 | 0.00 |
| Advanced Education | +0.48 | +0.71 | 0.00 | −0.12 | 0.00 |