Round 2 · simulation 11 · cycle-002.e4-chn

Round 1998

Round 2 of 30 in simulation 11 of China, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.559 to 8.42.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1998 (the end of 1997) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.42 (−0.559)
In: 8.98
Rank by index
64
In: 57
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
0
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.835.79−0.0376
Strategic Infrastructure10.439.59−0.8474 → 5
National Security8.758.38−0.3704
Human Capital9.348.82−0.51711
Information & Influence9.078.72−0.3537 → 8
Governance & Integrity8.798.32−0.46513
Financial Strength9.258.28−0.96917
Production & Innovation9.438.71−0.71612 → 13
Trade & Investment9.909.15−0.7549 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1998: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 229. Maintenance 177. Spent 52 on actions (build 52). 0 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure12 credits for 0.46 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure12 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access12 credits for 0.73 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base12 credits for 0.60 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication4 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −41.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 4 to 5; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 1998, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.600.000.00−1.600.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.470.000.00−1.43−0.04
Financial System Depth & Access−1.430.000.00−1.430.00
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−1.300.000.00−1.300.00
Social Infrastructure−1.290.000.00−1.290.00
Energy Infrastructure−1.04+0.240.00−1.280.00