Round 24 · simulation 25 · cycle-002.e4-deu

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 25 of Germany, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.162 to 17.54.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
17.54 (−0.162)
In: 17.70
Rank by index
2
In: 2
Domains at Tier 1
7
In: 8
Credits carried
960
In: 1,037
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology18.2918.10−0.1901
Strategic Infrastructure19.0118.93−0.0771
National Security13.3413.22−0.1223
Human Capital17.9517.83−0.1171
Information & Influence16.9016.64−0.2621 → 2
Governance & Integrity18.5418.53−0.0071
Financial Strength19.2219.03−0.1871
Production & Innovation18.1617.95−0.2131
Trade & Investment17.8917.61−0.2821

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 1,504, plus 1,037 carried in. Maintenance 1,204. Spent 376 on actions (build 376). 960 carried over.

  • BuildHealth System Capability75 credits for 1.95 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildBiotechnology & Health Technologies75 credits for 0.84 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management75 credits for 0.95 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance75 credits for 0.73 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration75 credits for 0.92 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −13.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 1 to 2.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.520.000.00−0.510.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.450.000.00−0.450.00
Internal Security & Order+0.38+0.730.00−0.100.00
Labour & Employment−0.360.000.00−0.360.00
Population Health−0.290.000.00−0.290.00
Foundational Education−0.290.000.00−0.290.00