Round 26 · simulation 9 · cycle-002.e4-egy

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 9 of Egypt, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.402 to 9.91.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.91 (−0.402)
In: 10.31
Rank by index
48
In: 45
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
667
In: 605
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology4.284.03−0.2489
Strategic Infrastructure14.1313.75−0.3772
National Security9.579.34−0.2295
Human Capital10.5310.26−0.26510
Information & Influence11.5010.93−0.5746
Governance & Integrity10.229.94−0.27710
Financial Strength10.159.58−0.57510 → 11
Production & Innovation9.619.14−0.4699 → 10
Trade & Investment12.8012.20−0.6014 → 5

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 345, plus 605 carried in. Maintenance 248. Spent 34 on actions (partner 34). 667 carried over.

  • PartnerPopulation Health7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerHealth System Capability7 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −31.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 10 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 10; Trade & Investment Tier 4 to 5.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.970.000.00−0.95−0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.940.000.00−1.00+0.07
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.840.000.00−0.91+0.07
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.79+0.120.00−0.91+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.79+0.080.00−0.86−0.01
Early Childhood Development−0.620.000.00−0.66+0.03