Round 19 · simulation 7 · cycle-002.e4-kaz

Round 2015

Round 19 of 30 in simulation 7 of Kazakhstan, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Global funding seizure and Market access opening, and the index −0.114 to 7.46.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.46 (−0.114)
In: 7.58
Rank by index
74
In: 71
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
234
In: 248
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.963.86−0.1009
Strategic Infrastructure10.4510.46+0.0146
National Security5.985.980.0006
Human Capital9.479.43−0.04710 → 11
Information & Influence6.846.74−0.09710
Governance & Integrity7.277.20−0.07316
Financial Strength8.498.09−0.40817 → 18
Production & Innovation7.437.31−0.11514
Trade & Investment8.308.10−0.2059

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 182, plus 248 carried in. Maintenance 133. Spent 64 on actions (build 64). 234 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base4 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing4 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildStructural Transformation & Complexity4 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure4 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure9 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration9 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion9 credits for 0.68 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure9 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −11.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Upside event: Market access opening S12. +6.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure and readiness, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 18.

The groups that moved most in 2015, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.490.000.00−0.490.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.470.000.00−0.470.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.470.000.00−0.470.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.440.000.00−0.440.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.440.000.00−0.440.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.420.000.00−0.420.00