Round 26 · simulation 12 · cycle-002.e4-lka

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 12 of Sri Lanka, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Global funding seizure and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.926 to 6.61.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
6.61 (−0.926)
In: 7.53
Rank by index
90
In: 73
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
17
In: 42
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.912.24−0.67112 → 13
Strategic Infrastructure8.597.97−0.6207
National Security6.836.46−0.3727
Human Capital9.649.21−0.4218 → 9
Information & Influence7.496.61−0.8799 → 11
Governance & Integrity8.567.79−0.77015
Financial Strength7.645.68−1.96520 → 24
Production & Innovation7.296.03−1.26415 → 16
Trade & Investment8.857.48−1.3709 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 149, plus 42 carried in. Maintenance 129. Spent 45 on actions (build 37, buy 7). 17 carried over.

  • BuildInternal Security & Order2 credits for 0.09 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance2 credits for 0.07 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability2 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure2 credits for 0.06 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management2 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability7 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyFinancial Stability & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health7 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −43.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −20.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 12 to 13; Human Capital Tier 8 to 9; Information & Influence Tier 9 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 20 to 24; Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−2.440.000.00−2.450.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−2.27+0.230.00−2.49−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−2.23+0.180.00−2.39−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−2.110.000.00−2.110.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−2.110.000.00−2.110.00
Economic Output & Productivity−1.900.000.00−1.86−0.03