Round 26 · simulation 14 · cycle-002.e4-pol

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 14 of Poland, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.397 to 9.44.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.44 (−0.397)
In: 9.84
Rank by index
51
In: 48
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
230
In: 240
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.025.92−0.0978
Strategic Infrastructure11.8511.34−0.5144
National Security7.727.17−0.5496
Human Capital11.9711.86−0.1105
Information & Influence9.168.91−0.2577
Governance & Integrity10.7910.51−0.27910 → 11
Financial Strength10.069.50−0.55515 → 16
Production & Innovation10.269.78−0.4736
Trade & Investment10.729.98−0.7398 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 254, plus 240 carried in. Maintenance 200. Spent 64 on actions (build 13, buy 51). 230 carried over.

  • BuyForce Generation & Mobilisation13 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAir Power13 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure13 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies13 credits for 1.64 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management13 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −32.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 15 to 16; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies+1.73+1.960.00−0.25+0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.200.000.00−1.17−0.03
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.100.000.00−1.100.00
Maritime Power−1.090.000.00−1.080.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.070.000.00−1.06−0.01
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.050.000.00−1.04−0.01