Round 18 · simulation 11 · cycle-002.e4-rus

Round 2014

Round 18 of 30 in simulation 11 of Russia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover and Trade bloc rupture, and the index −0.233 to 12.24.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2014 (the end of 2013) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.24 (−0.232)
In: 12.47
Rank by index
26
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 4
Credits carried
595
In: 622
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology13.8313.63−0.1942
Strategic Infrastructure14.6314.52−0.1161
National Security15.7115.70−0.0141 → 2
Human Capital14.3714.30−0.0601
Information & Influence11.9211.69−0.2375
Governance & Integrity11.4811.29−0.1971
Financial Strength10.6210.21−0.4026 → 7
Production & Innovation10.8710.53−0.3422
Trade & Investment8.798.26−0.5328 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2014: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 876, plus 622 carried in. Maintenance 684. Spent 219 on actions (build 219). 595 carried over.

  • BuildStrategic Strike & Missile Defence44 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildLand Power44 credits for 1.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAir Power44 credits for 1.28 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResource Infrastructure44 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure44 credits for 1.74 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −13.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Trade bloc rupture S01. −25.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. National Security Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 6 to 7; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2014, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure+1.14+1.370.00−0.24+0.01
Air Power+0.74+1.000.00−0.260.00
Land Power+0.64+0.900.00−0.260.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.640.000.00−0.65+0.02
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.620.000.00−0.79+0.16
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations+0.580.000.00−0.26+0.84