Round 12 · simulation 5 · cycle-002.e4-rwa

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 5 of Rwanda, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.208 to 4.29.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
4.29 (−0.208)
In: 4.50
Rank by index
135
In: 131
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
66
In: 60
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.721.59−0.13412
Strategic Infrastructure5.034.91−0.12210
National Security3.183.18−0.0019
Human Capital6.095.99−0.10214
Information & Influence4.734.59−0.14213 → 14
Governance & Integrity5.805.64−0.16519
Financial Strength5.204.68−0.52027 → 30
Production & Innovation4.414.06−0.34320 → 21
Trade & Investment4.313.97−0.34119

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 74, plus 60 carried in. Maintenance 60. Spent 7 on actions (partner 7). 66 carried over.

  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access2 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection2 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTransport Infrastructure2 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerBusiness Dynamism & Entrepreneurship2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFinancial System Depth & Access2 credits for 0.13 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −14.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 13 to 14; Financial Strength Tier 27 to 30; Production & Innovation Tier 20 to 21.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.580.000.00−0.57−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.570.000.00−0.570.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.570.000.00−0.570.00
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.56+0.100.00−0.660.00
Economic Output & Productivity−0.550.000.00−0.550.00