Round 26 · simulation 5 · cycle-002.e4-rwa

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 5 of Rwanda, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.455 to 3.55.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
3.55 (−0.455)
In: 4.00
Rank by index
159
In: 143
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
19
In: 19
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology1.271.09−0.17913 → 14
Strategic Infrastructure4.834.26−0.57210 → 12
National Security2.972.76−0.21110
Human Capital5.795.41−0.38614
Information & Influence4.043.45−0.58414 → 16
Governance & Integrity5.455.13−0.32719
Financial Strength4.183.49−0.68431 → 34
Production & Innovation3.863.39−0.47522 → 23
Trade & Investment3.632.95−0.67619 → 22

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 57, plus 19 carried in. Maintenance 52. Spent 6 on actions (build 6). 19 carried over.

  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure1 credits for 0.06 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure1 credits for 0.05 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing1 credits for 0.05 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base1 credits for 0.08 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability1 credits for 0.06 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −32.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 13 to 14; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 10 to 12; Information & Influence Tier 14 to 16; Financial Strength Tier 31 to 34; Production & Innovation Tier 22 to 23; Trade & Investment Tier 19 to 22.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.150.000.00−1.140.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.030.000.00−1.02−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.020.000.00−1.00−0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−1.000.000.00−0.99−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.920.000.00−0.90−0.02
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.850.000.00−0.85−0.01