Round 19 · simulation 24 · cycle-002.e4-sau

Round 2015

Round 19 of 30 in simulation 24 of Saudi Arabia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.329 to 10.79.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.79 (−0.329)
In: 11.12
Rank by index
36
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 3
Credits carried
111
In: 89
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.555.33−0.2268
Strategic Infrastructure14.1513.80−0.3551 → 2
National Security11.0210.50−0.5162
Human Capital11.9811.97−0.0142 → 1
Information & Influence12.0711.88−0.1916
Governance & Integrity8.768.49−0.26910 → 11
Financial Strength13.7513.31−0.4431 → 5
Production & Innovation9.779.39−0.3819 → 11
Trade & Investment13.0212.46−0.5621

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 413, plus 89 carried in. Maintenance 349. Spent 42 on actions (build 42). 111 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education8 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation8 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure8 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure8 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure8 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −25.9 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 1 to 2; Human Capital Tier 2 to 1; Governance & Integrity Tier 10 to 11; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2015, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−0.970.000.00−0.96−0.01
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.880.000.00−0.85−0.02
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.870.000.00−0.90+0.04
Maritime Power−0.830.000.00−0.82−0.01
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−0.810.000.00−0.810.00
Resource Infrastructure−0.710.000.00−0.69−0.01