Round 15 · simulation 26 · cycle-002.e4-sau

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 26 of Saudi Arabia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.158 to 11.14.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.14 (−0.158)
In: 11.30
Rank by index
35
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
3
In: 3
Credits carried
28
In: 14
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.755.62−0.1318
Strategic Infrastructure13.9113.91+0.0021
National Security11.2711.01−0.2622
Human Capital11.6511.70+0.0454 → 3
Information & Influence12.4012.12−0.2826
Governance & Integrity9.058.83−0.2199 → 10
Financial Strength14.3013.99−0.3091
Production & Innovation10.039.91−0.1168 → 9
Trade & Investment13.3313.19−0.1451

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 428, plus 14 carried in. Maintenance 372. Spent 43 on actions (build 43). 28 carried over.

  • BuildAdvanced Education9 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildResearch Talent & Knowledge Creation9 credits for 0.56 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure9 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure9 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −13.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 3; Governance & Integrity Tier 9 to 10; Production & Innovation Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Advanced Education+0.71+0.770.00−0.07+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.500.000.00−0.500.00
Force Generation & Mobilisation−0.490.000.00−0.490.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.490.000.00−0.480.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.400.000.00−0.400.00
Energy Infrastructure+0.38+0.480.00−0.100.00