Round 23 · simulation 26 · cycle-002.e4-sau

Round 2019

Round 23 of 30 in simulation 26 of Saudi Arabia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.211 to 10.82.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.82 (−0.211)
In: 11.04
Rank by index
36
In: 35
Domains at Tier 1
2
In: 2
Credits carried
52
In: 63
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.345.10−0.2398
Strategic Infrastructure13.8613.39−0.4642
National Security10.5910.08−0.5082
Human Capital12.2112.24+0.0251
Information & Influence11.8811.30−0.5726
Governance & Integrity8.478.14−0.33011 → 12
Financial Strength13.6413.77+0.1264 → 3
Production & Innovation9.739.66−0.0769 → 6
Trade & Investment13.5913.73+0.1411

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 409, plus 63 carried in. Maintenance 318. Spent 101 on actions (partner 101). 52 carried over.

  • PartnerIndustrial & Sectoral Base20 credits for 0.87 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerSovereign Capital & External Financial Power20 credits for 0.77 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerInvestment Attraction & Projection20 credits for 1.28 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerDigital & Services Trade20 credits for 1.28 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerForce Generation & Mobilisation20 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −22.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 12; Financial Strength Tier 4 to 3; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2019, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Digital & Services Trade+1.09+1.340.00−0.26+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection+1.07+1.340.00−0.26−0.01
Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations−0.970.000.00−0.95−0.01
Maritime Power−0.920.000.00−0.920.00
Intelligence & Assessment−0.920.000.00−0.91−0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.910.000.00−0.90−0.01