Round 3 · simulation 11 · cycle-002.e4-tur

Round 1999

Round 3 of 30 in simulation 11 of Türkiye, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.441 to 10.16.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1999 (the end of 1998) and as it left it.

Capability index
10.16 (−0.441)
In: 10.60
Rank by index
44
In: 42
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
108
In: 67
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.906.86−0.0377
Strategic Infrastructure11.9111.22−0.6873 → 4
National Security10.7610.46−0.3014
Human Capital9.849.42−0.42310
Information & Influence12.4512.17−0.2804 → 5
Governance & Integrity9.999.69−0.30112
Financial Strength9.719.06−0.64816 → 17
Production & Innovation11.3810.75−0.6316 → 8
Trade & Investment12.4911.83−0.6596

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1999: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 341, plus 67 carried in. Maintenance 250. Spent 50 on actions (build 17, partner 34). 108 carried over.

  • PartnerRegulatory Governance & Strategic Controls7 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerMonetary & Currency Capability7 credits for 0.44 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTrade Policy & Market Access7 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration7 credits for 0.25 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure3 credits for 0.12 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure3 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure3 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure3 credits for 0.10 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −33.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 3 to 4; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 16 to 17; Production & Innovation Tier 6 to 8.

The groups that moved most in 1999, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.300.000.00−1.29−0.01
Financial System Depth & Access−1.150.000.00−1.150.00
Social Infrastructure−1.080.000.00−1.05−0.03
Industrial & Sectoral Base−1.060.000.00−1.05−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.96+0.100.00−1.04−0.02
Energy Infrastructure−0.95+0.110.00−1.06−0.01