Round 15 · simulation 11 · cycle-002.e4-tur

Round 2011

Round 15 of 30 in simulation 11 of Türkiye, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 10 actions, Regional war spillover, and the index −0.481 to 9.44.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2011 (the end of 2010) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.44 (−0.481)
In: 9.92
Rank by index
51
In: 47
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
174
In: 218
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.546.37−0.1798
Strategic Infrastructure11.7311.24−0.4954
National Security10.369.61−0.7474
Human Capital9.559.37−0.18510 → 11
Information & Influence11.7411.46−0.2805
Governance & Integrity9.869.48−0.37811 → 12
Financial Strength8.547.85−0.69116 → 17
Production & Innovation9.859.30−0.54310
Trade & Investment11.1210.30−0.8255 → 6

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2011: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 282, plus 218 carried in. Maintenance 227. Spent 99 on actions (build 99). 174 carried over.

  • BuildTransport Infrastructure6 credits for 0.20 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFinancial Infrastructure6 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure6 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure6 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAir Power14 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSensing, Timing & Navigation14 credits for 0.70 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildRobotics & Autonomous Systems14 credits for 0.77 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSpace, Aerospace & Defence Infrastructure14 credits for 0.51 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Materials & Manufacturing14 credits for 0.69 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Regional war spillover S03. −37.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Governance & Integrity Tier 11 to 12; Financial Strength Tier 16 to 17; Trade & Investment Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2011, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Economic Leverage & Dependence−1.310.000.00−1.310.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.250.000.00−1.29+0.03
Strategic Strike & Missile Defence−1.210.000.00−1.20−0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.200.000.00−1.200.00
Maritime Power−1.150.000.00−1.150.00
Joint Command, Projection & Sustainment−1.140.000.00−1.140.00