Round 2015
Round 19 of 30 in simulation 18 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.380 to 9.66.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 9.66 (−0.380)
- In: 10.04
- Rank by index
- 50
- In: 47
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 1
- Credits carried
- 43
- In: 28
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 6.35 | 6.11 | −0.242 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 12.02 | 11.54 | −0.483 | 2 → 3 |
| National Security | 7.86 | 7.66 | −0.197 | 6 → 7 |
| Human Capital | 13.05 | 12.76 | −0.288 | 1 → 2 |
| Information & Influence | 12.15 | 11.66 | −0.490 | 3 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.33 | 10.12 | −0.205 | 12 |
| Financial Strength | 9.05 | 8.51 | −0.544 | 12 → 13 |
| Production & Innovation | 9.31 | 8.90 | −0.409 | 11 → 12 |
| Trade & Investment | 10.26 | 9.69 | −0.562 | 9 → 10 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 258, plus 28 carried in. Maintenance 218. Spent 26 on actions (build 26). 43 carried over.
- BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
- BuildInternal Security & Order5 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
- BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −28.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 3; National Security Tier 6 to 7; Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 12 to 13; Production & Innovation Tier 11 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.99 | 0.00 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.89 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.85 | 0.00 |
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.79 | 0.00 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.78 | 0.00 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.62 | +0.23 | 0.00 | −0.86 | 0.00 |