Round 24 · simulation 18 · cycle-002.e4-ven

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 18 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.616 to 7.84.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
7.84 (−0.616)
In: 8.46
Rank by index
70
In: 65
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
75
In: 70
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology5.214.43−0.7776 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure10.6110.26−0.3463
National Security6.536.18−0.3467 → 8
Human Capital12.3711.84−0.5282
Information & Influence10.099.30−0.7914 → 5
Governance & Integrity9.389.06−0.32313
Financial Strength6.335.56−0.77017 → 19
Production & Innovation7.526.75−0.77614 → 16
Trade & Investment8.117.22−0.89011

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 190, plus 70 carried in. Maintenance 163. Spent 22 on actions (build 13, buy 9). 75 carried over.

  • BuyResource Infrastructure4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildMonetary & Currency Capability4 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyInternal Security & Order4 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −43.5 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; National Security Tier 7 to 8; Information & Influence Tier 4 to 5; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19; Production & Innovation Tier 14 to 16.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.570.000.00−1.55−0.03
Labour & Employment−1.350.000.00−1.31−0.04
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.340.000.00−1.34−0.01
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.340.000.00−1.340.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.24+0.080.00−1.26−0.06
Economic Leverage & Dependence−0.860.000.00−0.77−0.09