Round 21 · simulation 27 · cycle-002.e4-ven

Round 2017

Round 21 of 30 in simulation 27 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.474 to 9.21.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2017 (the end of 2016) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.21 (−0.474)
In: 9.68
Rank by index
56
In: 49
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
79
In: 58
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.115.76−0.3436
Strategic Infrastructure11.5511.24−0.3113
National Security7.677.66−0.0037
Human Capital12.7912.60−0.1911 → 2
Information & Influence11.6911.37−0.3213
Governance & Integrity10.169.90−0.25712
Financial Strength8.567.39−1.16313 → 14
Production & Innovation8.918.09−0.81512 → 13
Trade & Investment9.708.83−0.86510 → 11

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2017: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 248, plus 58 carried in. Maintenance 203. Spent 25 on actions (build 25). 79 carried over.

  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management5 credits for 0.26 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure5 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildInternal Security & Order5 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration5 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.23 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −32.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 1 to 2; Financial Strength Tier 13 to 14; Production & Innovation Tier 12 to 13; Trade & Investment Tier 10 to 11.

The groups that moved most in 2017, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−1.490.000.00−1.48−0.01
Monetary & Currency Capability−1.330.000.00−1.330.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−1.320.000.00−1.320.00
Financial System Depth & Access−1.310.000.00−1.310.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−1.310.000.00−1.310.00
Labour & Employment−1.250.000.00−1.250.00