Round 2019
Round 23 of 30 in simulation 27 of Venezuela, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Hybrid coercion and Legitimacy rupture, and the index −0.747 to 8.46.
Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2019 (the end of 2018) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 8.46 (−0.748)
- In: 9.21
- Rank by index
- 65
- In: 56
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 80
- In: 73
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 5.76 | 5.20 | −0.561 | 6 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 11.24 | 10.59 | −0.654 | 3 |
| National Security | 7.66 | 6.52 | −1.132 | 7 |
| Human Capital | 12.61 | 12.38 | −0.232 | 2 |
| Information & Influence | 11.36 | 10.12 | −1.241 | 3 → 4 |
| Governance & Integrity | 10.00 | 9.33 | −0.669 | 12 → 13 |
| Financial Strength | 7.39 | 6.35 | −1.036 | 15 → 17 |
| Production & Innovation | 8.08 | 7.54 | −0.533 | 13 → 14 |
| Trade & Investment | 8.80 | 8.13 | −0.668 | 11 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2019: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 217, plus 73 carried in. Maintenance 189. Spent 22 on actions (build 13, buy 9). 80 carried over.
- BuyResource Infrastructure4 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
- BuildMonetary & Currency Capability4 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
- BuyInternal Security & Order4 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAlliances & Security Cooperation4 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTrade Policy & Market Access4 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −11.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −42.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 3 to 4; Governance & Integrity Tier 12 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 15 to 17; Production & Innovation Tier 13 to 14.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Environment & Strategic Communication | −2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −2.02 | −0.01 |
| Force Generation & Mobilisation | −1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.81 | −0.03 |
| Monetary & Currency Capability | −1.55 | +0.10 | 0.00 | −1.64 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.36 | +0.15 | 0.00 | −1.49 | −0.03 |
| Maritime Power | −1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | −0.01 |
| Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations | −1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.31 | −0.01 |