Round 16 · simulation 17 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2012

Round 16 of 30 in simulation 17 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, and the index +0.033 to 12.08.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2012 (the end of 2011) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.08 (+0.034)
In: 12.05
Rank by index
28
In: 29
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
749
In: 678
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.767.77+0.0047
Strategic Infrastructure14.3614.43+0.0662
National Security9.389.38−0.0074
Human Capital11.5211.54+0.0206
Information & Influence11.6811.68−0.0045
Governance & Integrity12.7512.75−0.0018
Financial Strength15.5515.55+0.0022
Production & Innovation12.1912.24+0.0532
Trade & Investment13.2513.42+0.1663

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2012: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 403, plus 678 carried in. Maintenance 300. Spent 32 on actions (build 32). 749 carried over.

  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base8 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildExport Capability & Sophistication8 credits for 0.52 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Manufacturing8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTrade Facilitation & Logistics8 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
The groups that moved most in 2012, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.56+0.530.000.00+0.03
Trade Facilitation & Logistics+0.54+0.480.000.00+0.06
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.25+0.200.000.00+0.05
Advanced Manufacturing+0.25+0.200.000.00+0.04
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.21+0.210.000.00−0.01
Energy Infrastructure+0.15+0.170.000.00−0.01