Round 26 · simulation 17 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2022

Round 26 of 30 in simulation 17 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.137 to 11.66.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.66 (−0.137)
In: 11.80
Rank by index
32
In: 30
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
945
In: 878
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.557.53−0.0235 → 6
Strategic Infrastructure14.7014.49−0.2082
National Security9.098.99−0.1005
Human Capital11.2411.15−0.0946 → 7
Information & Influence11.0710.97−0.0986
Governance & Integrity12.4512.37−0.0808 → 9
Financial Strength15.0314.84−0.1923
Production & Innovation11.8711.67−0.1991
Trade & Investment13.1712.94−0.2365

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 384, plus 878 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 19 on actions (partner 19). 945 carried over.

  • PartnerDigital & AI Competence4 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption4 credits for 0.15 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFinancial Stability & Crisis Management4 credits for 0.16 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration4 credits for 0.14 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −10.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 5 to 6; Human Capital Tier 6 to 7; Governance & Integrity Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 2022, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−0.370.000.00−0.37−0.01
Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure−0.370.000.00−0.35−0.02
Social Infrastructure−0.350.000.00−0.33−0.02
Financial System Depth & Access−0.340.000.00−0.340.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.320.000.00−0.31−0.01
Transport Infrastructure−0.300.000.00−0.28−0.02