Round 12 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 29 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Global funding seizure and Hybrid coercion, and the index −0.254 to 11.93.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.93 (−0.255)
In: 12.19
Rank by index
30
In: 27
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 1
Credits carried
608
In: 570
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.987.75−0.2266 → 7
Strategic Infrastructure13.8913.84−0.0522 → 3
National Security9.599.38−0.2064 → 5
Human Capital11.5211.47−0.0496
Information & Influence12.0411.70−0.3365
Governance & Integrity13.0012.74−0.2597 → 8
Financial Strength16.0615.60−0.4561 → 2
Production & Innovation12.1611.88−0.2773
Trade & Investment13.4413.02−0.4282 → 3

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 420, plus 570 carried in. Maintenance 298. Spent 84 on actions (build 84). 608 carried over.

  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure21 credits for 0.68 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure21 credits for 0.70 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure21 credits for 0.89 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildIndustrial & Sectoral Base21 credits for 0.84 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −13.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Hybrid coercion S04. −7.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 6 to 7; Strategic Infrastructure Tier 2 to 3; National Security Tier 4 to 5; Governance & Integrity Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 1 to 2; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 3.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.720.000.00−0.720.00
Labour & Employment−0.610.000.00−0.62+0.01
Economic Output & Productivity−0.600.000.00−0.61+0.01
Industrial & Sectoral Base+0.59+0.880.00−0.31+0.01
Communications & Digital Infrastructure+0.57+0.950.00−0.380.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.530.000.00−0.530.00