Round 19 · simulation 29 · cycle-002.e4-zaf

Round 2015

Round 19 of 30 in simulation 29 of South Africa, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 4 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.074 to 12.07.

Model 0.1.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.0

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2015 (the end of 2014) and as it left it.

Capability index
12.07 (−0.074)
In: 12.14
Rank by index
29
In: 28
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
826
In: 764
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology7.777.770.0007
Strategic Infrastructure14.4714.42−0.0562
National Security9.369.30−0.0625
Human Capital11.5711.50−0.0776
Information & Influence11.6811.55−0.1315 → 6
Governance & Integrity12.7412.67−0.0728
Financial Strength15.5915.46−0.1282
Production & Innovation12.3212.24−0.0811
Trade & Investment13.8013.75−0.0563

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2015: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 404, plus 764 carried in. Maintenance 309. Spent 32 on actions (buy 32). 826 carried over.

  • BuyEnergy Technologies8 credits for 0.61 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyEnergy Infrastructure8 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure8 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyResource Infrastructure8 credits for 0.32 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −7.2 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6.

The groups that moved most in 2015, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.50+0.610.00−0.11+0.01
Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks−0.220.000.00−0.220.00
Agriculture & Food Infrastructure−0.210.000.00−0.210.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.190.000.00−0.200.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.190.000.00−0.190.00
Export Capability & Sophistication+0.15+0.240.00−0.12+0.03