Round 1 · simulation 28 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 1997

Round 1 of 30 in simulation 28 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 9 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.607 to 8.99.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 1997 (the end of 1996) and as it left it.

Capability index
8.99 (−0.607)
In: 9.60
Rank by index
57
In: 51
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
13
In: 0
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology3.022.72−0.29511 → 12
Strategic Infrastructure9.999.65−0.3485
National Security6.105.86−0.2427
Human Capital9.979.38−0.59710 → 11
Information & Influence9.148.32−0.8167 → 8
Governance & Integrity13.8813.41−0.4606
Financial Strength13.4712.59−0.8808 → 9
Production & Innovation10.169.33−0.82511
Trade & Investment10.659.64−1.0048 → 9

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 1997: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 282. Maintenance 190. Spent 79 on actions (build 73, buy 6). 13 carried over.

  • BuildFoundational Education14 credits for 0.86 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability14 credits for 0.64 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPopulation Health14 credits for 0.86 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSocial Infrastructure14 credits for 0.58 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildPublic Integrity & Anti-Corruption6 credits for 0.22 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration6 credits for 0.21 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransparency, Oversight & Accountability6 credits for 0.27 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyAir Power3 credits for 0.18 levelsscripted_history
  • BuyLand Power3 credits for 0.17 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −41.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Critical Technology Tier 11 to 12; Human Capital Tier 10 to 11; Information & Influence Tier 7 to 8; Financial Strength Tier 8 to 9; Trade & Investment Tier 8 to 9.

The groups that moved most in 1997, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.810.000.00−1.810.00
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.500.000.00−1.500.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.470.000.00−1.470.00
Labour & Employment−1.390.000.00−1.390.00
Digital & Services Trade−0.910.000.00−0.910.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.910.000.00−0.910.00