Round 24 · simulation 28 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 28 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 7 actions, Severe pandemic, and the index −0.339 to 9.17.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.17 (−0.340)
In: 9.51
Rank by index
56
In: 52
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
498
In: 471
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.732.57−0.16212
Strategic Infrastructure11.6911.49−0.1924
National Security5.845.69−0.1577
Human Capital11.7911.54−0.2514 → 5
Information & Influence8.057.59−0.4578
Governance & Integrity13.9613.68−0.2884
Financial Strength11.7911.25−0.53911
Production & Innovation9.829.41−0.4109 → 10
Trade & Investment9.949.34−0.59810

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 255, plus 471 carried in. Maintenance 191. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 498 carried over.

  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure5 credits for 0.24 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildAdvanced Education5 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnical & Vocational Skills5 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildFiscal Capacity & Public Finance5 credits for 0.19 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEconomic Output & Productivity5 credits for 0.29 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −24.7 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Human Capital Tier 4 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.070.000.00−1.07+0.01
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.85+0.060.00−0.93+0.01
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−0.780.000.00−0.780.00
Labour & Employment−0.690.000.00−0.71+0.02
Global Value Chain Position−0.600.000.00−0.61+0.01
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.560.000.00−0.560.00