Round 12 · simulation 9 · cycle-003.e4-bwa

Round 2008

Round 12 of 30 in simulation 9 of Botswana, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 6 actions, Global funding seizure, and the index −0.165 to 9.17.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2008 (the end of 2007) and as it left it.

Capability index
9.17 (−0.165)
In: 9.34
Rank by index
56
In: 55
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
203
In: 179
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.702.66−0.04412
Strategic Infrastructure10.9611.00+0.0454
National Security5.935.93+0.0017
Human Capital10.8210.75−0.0684
Information & Influence8.278.14−0.1238
Governance & Integrity13.9513.80−0.1494
Financial Strength12.5211.98−0.5349 → 11
Production & Innovation9.299.00−0.29611 → 12
Trade & Investment9.599.27−0.3169 → 10

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2008: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 265, plus 179 carried in. Maintenance 185. Spent 56 on actions (build 40, partner 16). 203 carried over.

  • BuildWater, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure13 credits for 0.50 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildEnergy Infrastructure13 credits for 0.49 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildTransport Infrastructure13 credits for 0.48 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerStructural Transformation & Complexity5 credits for 0.35 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerGlobal Value Chain Position5 credits for 0.55 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerAdvanced Manufacturing5 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Global funding seizure S02. −12.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 9 to 11; Production & Innovation Tier 11 to 12; Trade & Investment Tier 9 to 10.

The groups that moved most in 2008, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Investment Attraction & Projection−0.690.000.00−0.690.00
Financial System Depth & Access−0.600.000.00−0.600.00
Financial Stability & Crisis Management−0.590.000.00−0.590.00
Financial Regulation & Integrity−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Monetary & Currency Capability−0.580.000.00−0.580.00
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−0.560.000.00−0.57+0.01