Round 2020
Round 24 of 30 in simulation 29 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Severe pandemic and Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.413 to 5.88.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.88 (−0.414)
- In: 6.29
- Rank by index
- 101
- In: 93
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 137
- In: 130
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.54 | 2.37 | −0.169 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.52 | 8.13 | −0.390 | 5 |
| National Security | 4.43 | 4.25 | −0.185 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.58 | 7.14 | −0.439 | 12 → 13 |
| Information & Influence | 6.16 | 5.62 | −0.537 | 11 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.79 | 7.45 | −0.342 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 6.72 | 6.11 | −0.613 | 17 → 19 |
| Production & Innovation | 6.27 | 5.88 | −0.388 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 6.60 | 5.95 | −0.655 | 15 → 16 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 156, plus 130 carried in. Maintenance 109. Spent 39 on actions (build 39). 137 carried over.
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure8 credits for 0.30 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability8 credits for 0.37 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSocial Infrastructure8 credits for 0.36 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Manufacturing8 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion8 credits for 0.60 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −14.0 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −16.3 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Human Capital Tier 12 to 13; Financial Strength Tier 17 to 19; Trade & Investment Tier 15 to 16.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.23 | +0.03 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −1.01 | 0.00 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.76 | 0.00 |
| Trade Policy & Market Access | −0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | −0.01 |
| Financial System Depth & Access | −0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.67 | 0.00 |
| Digital & Services Trade | −0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.68 | +0.03 |