Round 2022
Round 26 of 30 in simulation 29 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Breadbasket failure, and the index −0.267 to 5.63.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2022 (the end of 2021) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.63 (−0.267)
- In: 5.89
- Rank by index
- 108
- In: 101
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 136
- In: 129
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.37 | 2.30 | −0.070 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 8.23 | 7.87 | −0.360 | 5 → 6 |
| National Security | 4.24 | 4.11 | −0.128 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 7.17 | 6.93 | −0.240 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 5.61 | 5.27 | −0.343 | 11 → 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.46 | 7.23 | −0.230 | 14 → 15 |
| Financial Strength | 6.08 | 5.68 | −0.396 | 19 → 22 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.97 | 5.74 | −0.223 | 17 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.93 | 5.52 | −0.412 | 16 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2022: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 144, plus 129 carried in. Maintenance 101. Spent 36 on actions (build 36). 136 carried over.
- BuildAgriculture & Food Infrastructure7 credits for 0.28 levelsscripted_history
- BuildHealth System Capability7 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
- BuildSocial Infrastructure7 credits for 0.33 levelsscripted_history
- BuildAdvanced Manufacturing7 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
- BuildTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.53 levelsscripted_history
- Shock: Breadbasket failure S06. −19.6 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
Tiers. Strategic Infrastructure Tier 5 to 6; Information & Influence Tier 11 to 12; Governance & Integrity Tier 14 to 15; Financial Strength Tier 19 to 22.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Infrastructure | −0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.72 | −0.01 |
| Trade Facilitation & Logistics | −0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.69 | +0.01 |
| Diplomatic Statecraft & Global Networks | −0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.60 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | −0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.58 | −0.01 |
| Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure | −0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.56 | −0.02 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.54 | +0.30 | 0.00 | −0.79 | −0.04 |