Round 28 · simulation 29 · cycle-003.e4-ken

Round 2024

Round 28 of 30 in simulation 29 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Core disaster, and the index −0.100 to 5.55.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2024 (the end of 2023) and as it left it.

Capability index
5.55 (−0.100)
In: 5.65
Rank by index
110
In: 108
Domains at Tier 1
0
In: 0
Credits carried
137
In: 129
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology2.332.39+0.06312
Strategic Infrastructure7.937.74−0.1906
National Security4.104.02−0.0749
Human Capital6.966.84−0.11813
Information & Influence5.265.18−0.07712
Governance & Integrity7.247.15−0.09414
Financial Strength5.715.58−0.12822 → 23
Production & Innovation5.845.77−0.06716
Trade & Investment5.505.29−0.20916 → 17

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2024: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 139, plus 129 carried in. Maintenance 96. Spent 34 on actions (partner 34). 137 carried over.

  • PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.40 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.47 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.67 levelsscripted_history
  • PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.62 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Core disaster S07. −9.1 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Financial Strength Tier 22 to 23; Trade & Investment Tier 16 to 17.

The groups that moved most in 2024, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Energy Technologies+0.67+0.690.00−0.020.00
Technology Adoption & Diffusion+0.62+0.820.00−0.18−0.02
Transport Infrastructure−0.450.000.00−0.40−0.05
Financial System Depth & Access−0.410.000.00−0.41−0.01
Energy Infrastructure−0.360.000.00−0.34−0.02
Industrial & Sectoral Base−0.340.000.00−0.33−0.02