Round 2026
Round 30 of 30 in simulation 29 of Kenya, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, and the index +0.024 to 5.60.
Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1
State in and state out
The simulation as it came into 2026 (the end of 2025) and as it left it.
- Capability index
- 5.60 (+0.024)
- In: 5.58
- Rank by index
- 108
- In: 109
- Domains at Tier 1
- 0
- In: 0
- Credits carried
- 144
- In: 132
| Domain | In | Out | Change | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Critical Technology | 2.46 | 2.52 | +0.063 | 12 |
| Strategic Infrastructure | 7.77 | 7.79 | +0.024 | 6 |
| National Security | 4.00 | 4.00 | −0.008 | 9 |
| Human Capital | 6.84 | 6.83 | −0.010 | 13 |
| Information & Influence | 5.17 | 5.17 | −0.008 | 12 |
| Governance & Integrity | 7.18 | 7.22 | +0.033 | 14 |
| Financial Strength | 5.64 | 5.72 | +0.072 | 23 |
| Production & Innovation | 5.85 | 5.92 | +0.069 | 15 → 13 |
| Trade & Investment | 5.27 | 5.25 | −0.020 | 17 |
Decision, shocks and propagation
What happened in 2026: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.
Credits. Income 140, plus 132 carried in. Maintenance 95. Spent 34 on actions (partner 34). 144 carried over.
- PartnerCommunications & Digital Infrastructure7 credits for 0.39 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerFiscal Capacity & Public Finance7 credits for 0.45 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerNational Resilience & Crisis Management7 credits for 0.31 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerEnergy Technologies7 credits for 0.65 levelsscripted_history
- PartnerTechnology Adoption & Diffusion7 credits for 0.57 levelsscripted_history
Tiers. Production & Innovation Tier 15 to 13.
| Moved most | Change | Invested | Decay | Events | Graph |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Energy Technologies | +0.66 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Technology Adoption & Diffusion | +0.57 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance | +0.45 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| Communications & Digital Infrastructure | +0.39 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.01 |
| National Resilience & Crisis Management | +0.33 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 |
| Agriculture & Food Infrastructure | −0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | −0.05 |