Round 24 · simulation 19 · cycle-003.e4-mys

Round 2020

Round 24 of 30 in simulation 19 of Malaysia, scripted, 30 years from 1996: 5 actions, Legitimacy rupture and Severe pandemic, and the index −0.618 to 11.94.

Model 0.2.0 · graph 0.2.0 · parameters 0.1.1

State in and state out

The simulation as it came into 2020 (the end of 2019) and as it left it.

Capability index
11.94 (−0.618)
In: 12.55
Rank by index
30
In: 25
Domains at Tier 1
1
In: 1
Credits carried
976
In: 940
Each domain's mean score and tier coming in and going out
DomainInOutChangeTier
Critical Technology6.956.43−0.5266
Strategic Infrastructure14.8414.51−0.3301
National Security9.499.02−0.4805
Human Capital12.6012.25−0.3515
Information & Influence11.8610.94−0.9195 → 6
Governance & Integrity12.6512.18−0.4713 → 4
Financial Strength15.6214.76−0.8523 → 5
Production & Innovation14.0413.33−0.7133 → 5
Trade & Investment14.9314.01−0.9242 → 4

Decision, shocks and propagation

What happened in 2020: the credits, the scripted method's decision and its actions, any shocks and upside events, the tier changes, and the groups that moved most, split into what was invested, lost to decay, struck by events and carried through the dependency graph.

Credits. Income 455, plus 940 carried in. Maintenance 374. Spent 46 on actions (build 46). 976 carried over.

  • BuildDigital & AI Competence9 credits for 0.94 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildCommunications & Digital Infrastructure9 credits for 0.43 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildSemiconductors & Advanced Computing9 credits for 0.34 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildHealth System Capability9 credits for 0.38 levelsscripted_history
  • BuildNational Resilience & Crisis Management9 credits for 0.41 levelsscripted_history
  • Shock: Legitimacy rupture S05. −11.4 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.
  • Shock: Severe pandemic S10. −27.8 points across the groups it bears on, after exposure, absorption and vulnerability, spread over its duration.

Tiers. Information & Influence Tier 5 to 6; Governance & Integrity Tier 3 to 4; Financial Strength Tier 3 to 5; Production & Innovation Tier 3 to 5; Trade & Investment Tier 2 to 4.

The groups that moved most in 2020, and what moved them
Moved mostChangeInvestedDecayEventsGraph
Information Environment & Strategic Communication−1.500.000.00−1.500.00
Trade Facilitation & Logistics−1.260.000.00−1.32+0.06
Fiscal Capacity & Public Finance−1.240.000.00−1.25+0.01
Labour & Employment−1.110.000.00−1.110.00
Biotechnology & Health Technologies−1.040.000.00−1.040.00
Export Capability & Sophistication−0.930.000.00−0.92−0.01